Green Water Supply Outlook, May 1, 2008

Note: This publication is scheduled for revision. If you have feedback on content, format, or publication frequency, please contact us.
Prepared by Ed Clark
NOAA, National Weather Service
Colorado Basin River Forecast Center
Salt Lake City, Utah
www.cbrfc.noaa.gov

Contents

Green Summary

Nearly the entire basin received much below average precipitation with the Yampa receiving below average precipitation. Similar to March, April temperatures were below average for all basins within the Green. Both maximum and minimum daily temperatures were 3 to 5 Fahrenheit degrees below average. While additional liquid was not added to the snowpack, cooler temperatures help preserve that which was on the ground. Additionally, many stream flow observations were below average due to decrease melt during April.



*Median of forecasts within each basin.


Upper Green Basin Conditions

Dry antecedent soil moisture conditions continue to influence a lower volumetric forecast from the River Forecast Model. While the May 1st snowpack is 95 percent of average, the basin median forecast is only 80 percent of average.



* Percent usable capacity, not percent average contents.
Click for multi-month Graph.

Yampa/White Basin Conditions

Overall the Yampa and White basins received only 80 percent of average April Precipitation. The Upper Yampa basin received almost 100 percent of its normal precipitation. This, coupled with cooler temperatures that preserved much of the snowpack led to slightly increased forecasts on portions of the Little Snake and Yampa.



* Percent usable capacity, not percent average contents.
Click for multi-month Graph.

Duchesne Basin Conditions

April precipitation in the Duchesne Basin was only 45 percent of average. However due to much above average precipitation in February and March, the seasonal snowpack remains near average. Soil moisture conditions prior to the melt were normal. Overall forecast dropped slightly to reflect the seasonal precipitation values.



* Percent usable capacity, not percent average contents.
Click for multi-month Graph.

Lower Green Basin Conditions

Similar to the Duchesne, precipitation in April was much below average. Most points are forecast to see a near normal April through July runoff. Outliers include both Ferron Creek and inflow to Joes Valley where volumes are expected to be below average.



* Percent usable capacity, not percent average contents.
Click for multi-month Graph.









Differences between the full period forecasts and the residual forecasts may not exactly equal the actual observed volumes due to rounding conventions (see Definitions section).


Precipitation Maps








Hydrologist: Ed Clark