San Juan Water Supply Outlook, February 1, 2008

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Prepared by Cox
NOAA, National Weather Service
Colorado Basin River Forecast Center
Salt Lake City, Utah
www.cbrfc.noaa.gov

Contents

San Juan Summary

Last month's streamflows were average to above average across the San Juan Basin. Some notables were Vallecito inflow of 125% and San Juan near Bluff with 135%. Last month's precipitation was much above average with 210%. The seasonal precipitation was above average with 130%. The snowpack across the entire basin as of February 1st increased from 130% to 155% of average. On February 1st, snowpack in the Upper San Juan Basin was particularly high with 170% of average while the Animas Basin was 150%. The storm totals from February 1st through the 4th was factored into the streamflow forecast. Northwest flow will continue across the San Juan Basin into early next week with most of the moisture forecast to stay north. The streamflow forecast was increased for all of the forecast points this month due to the increase in snowpack over the entire San Juan Basin.



*Median of forecasts within each basin.


San Juan Basin Conditions




* Percent usable capacity, not percent average contents.
Click for multi-month Graph.



Differences between the full period forecasts and the residual forecasts may not exactly equal the actual observed volumes due to rounding conventions (see Definitions section).


Precipitation Maps








Hydrologist: Cox